For more than two decades, organic search followed a broadly predictable pattern. Rank higher, earn more clicks. Position one hoovered up attention, position two fought over the scraps, and by page two you were effectively invisible. Entire SEO strategies, pricing models and business forecasts were built on that curve.
In 2025, that curve has broken.
The widespread rollout of Google’s AI Overviews has fundamentally altered how users interact with search results. The most important statistic to understand this shift is not impressions, not rankings, and not even traffic. It is click-through rate by position.
And the change is not subtle.
The 2025 CTR Shock
Multiple large-scale studies now show that when an AI Overview appears, organic click-through rates drop sharply at the very top of the page.
Position one, historically responsible for roughly 27 to 30 percent of clicks, now often sees figures closer to 18 to 20 percent when an AI Overview is present. Position two has been hit even harder, with CTR reductions approaching 40 percent in some verticals. Positions three to five also decline, though less dramatically.
This is not seasonal noise or algorithmic wobble. It is structural.
“The reason is simple. Users are no longer starting their journey with organic listings. They are starting with a machine-written synthesis that sits above everything else.”
For many informational queries, the search ends there.
The Rise of the No-Click Result
AI Overviews represent the most aggressive expansion of the zero-click search model Google has ever deployed. Featured snippets were short. Knowledge panels were limited. AI Overviews are comprehensive, contextual and designed to resolve intent directly on the results page.
“In 2025, a majority of informational searches that trigger an AI Overview now result in no click at all.”
This matters because it breaks a long-standing assumption in digital strategy: that visibility inevitably leads to traffic. It no longer does.
A page can rank first, be technically sound, well written, and perfectly aligned with search intent, and still receive a fraction of the traffic it would have earned two years ago.
Why Lower Rankings Are Not the Answer
Some commentators have pointed out that positions six to ten sometimes see a relative increase in CTR when AI Overviews are present. This is true, but it is also misleading.
Those positions are benefiting from a smaller group of users who scroll deliberately to validate or explore sources after reading the summary. They are not outperforming top positions in absolute terms, and they are not a growth strategy.
This is not a reshuffling of clicks. It is a contraction of them.
The Real Divide in 2025 Search
The meaningful distinction in modern search is no longer between page one and page two. It is between content that is cited by AI systems and content that is merely indexed.
Being cited inside an AI Overview changes the equation. It restores relevance, trust and visibility at the point where the user’s attention actually is. It turns a passive summary into a gateway rather than a dead end.
Businesses that are cited consistently tend to see stronger branded searches, higher downstream engagement, and better conversion quality, even if raw organic traffic volumes are lower than historical peaks.
Businesses that are not cited experience something worse than a ranking drop. They experience quiet irrelevance.
Why Traditional SEO Is Now Failing Businesses
“In 2026 most SEO strategies are still built for a search landscape that no longer exists. They optimise for rankings rather than references, keywords rather than concepts, and pages rather than entities.”
AI systems do not think in keywords. They synthesise from sources they consider authoritative, current, structured and reliable. If your content is not written, structured and positioned to be used as a source, it is invisible to the most important layer of modern search.
This is why many businesses report stable rankings alongside falling traffic and weakening lead quality. The strategy is technically succeeding while commercially failing.
The Cost of Inaction
Choosing not to adapt is still a choice, but it is an expensive one.
If your content is not being cited, you are training AI systems to answer questions without you. Every un-cited article reinforces competitors as default sources. Every missed summary compounds future invisibility.
In 2025, search visibility compounds in two directions. Upwards if you are referenced. Downwards if you are not.
The Strategic Shift Required
The implication for business is clear.
“SEO is no longer about chasing clicks. It is about earning inclusion in machine-generated answers. That requires a shift toward Generative Engine Optimisation, whether or not that label is used internally.”
Content must demonstrate expertise clearly, answer questions directly, and be structured in ways AI systems can parse, trust and reuse. Authority signals matter more than ever. So does clarity, accuracy and topical depth.
Ranking still matters, but it is no longer the end goal. Being used as a source is.
The Bottom Line
The dramatic change in organic CTR by position is not a temporary anomaly. It is the clearest measurable signal that search behaviour has crossed a threshold.
Businesses that continue to optimise as if blue links are the primary interface are optimising for the past. Businesses that understand how AI systems select, summarise and cite sources are building visibility where it actually exists.
In 2025, search success is not about being first on the page. It is about being present in the answer.
